Heptalysis Whitepaper
3. Assessment Elements
- 3.1
Market Opportunity - Is there a real opportunity?
"I like opportunities that are addressing
markets so big that even the management team can't get in its way."
~Don Valentine from Sequoia Capital
Many businesses fail, not because the entrepreneurs
didn’t work hard, but instead because there was no real opportunity
to begin with. There are many different definitions of what a market
opportunity is, but generally speaking a market opportunity is need
or want that is not being met by the current competition in the
marketplace. A business cannot simply add features a customer does
not need, or solve problems that were not problems to target customers.
A market opportunity has to be large enough and exist for a long
enough period to be attractive. For a true market opportunity, the
opportunity must continue in a sustainable way to allow for profit
and continued success of the investment.
Not every market opportunity needs to be in a market where there
is no competition. When Google entered the search market in 1998,
there was already a dominant search engine, Yahoo, as well as other
competitors. Google’s market opportunity was instead making
a search engine that greatly improved results over the competitors
and allowed more people to turn to a search engine to find what
they needed on the web.
The market opportunity a business plans will take advantage of
must be analyzed to determine if it is real and substantial. The
following sections assess the viability of a market opportunity.
3.1.1. Vivid Pain or
Desire
Unless there is a clear description of problem on hand, the company
will easily become distracted from their mission. If this occurs
team members will start working as individuals and on different
aspect of the problem. A clear problem description will keep team
members focused on the goals of the company. Also if the pain
is not understood, customers will not understand the value an
entrepreneur is adding with their solution. Also, as business
has to be able to clearly articulate the problem to customers
so the customers understand why they should invest in the product
or service offered.
Companies that do not focus their efforts on the pain or desire
faced by a company can often run into problems. Many startups
founded by engineers fall into a “creeping elegance”
trap. They keep developing increasingly better features, without
first selling the more-than-adequate initial products. That can
easily push small technology companies into bankruptcy, as all
their money is spent on tweaking the product, rather than selling
it.
It is important to know:
How big is the pain/cost of not having a solution?
Those who have the problem, are they aware that they have the
problem?
Will those who have the problem accept a solution?
3.1.2. Lack
of Suitable Solution
Other solutions in the marketplace must be investigated in order
to both evaluate the size of the market opportunity, as well as
to understand the strengths and weaknesses of the competition
which customers will ultimately compare to a business’s
solution. The value of a solution can also only be measured by
comparing it to its potential substitutes and their degree of
fitness. No matter how far the current solutions are from being
a remedy, they will all be considered as reference points and
competition in the customers’ view.
It is important to know:
How is the problem being solved today? (Maybe using one or a multiple
of already existing solutions)
If many, are those new or mature solutions?
What are the differentiators?
3.1.3. Clear Target
Market
There has to be a clear description of target customer and users.
It is important to differentiate between the customers who pay
for a service and the users who use a service. While they often
are the same, in some cases they are different. A clear example
is Google, who has users that use their google search engine,
but customers who pay for the adds which appear from their searches.
The customer and user have to be understood so that their needs,
wants, and problems are understood. Also, it is important for
a business to understand a customer and user’s views. Same
product can have different tangible and perceived value for different
markets.
Even if a product/solution would fit the needs of multiple market
segments, it is not practical for a startup to try capturing all
those market segments right away because they do not have the
resources to do so. Clear targeting helps in better planning and
more accurate projections.
It is important to know:
Is there a clear definition and well-defined profile of the target
user and customer in place?
Who pays for it? Who uses it?
3.1.4.
Demand Validation
There should be a clear distinction between what potential customers
want and what the founders (or engineers) “think”
the customers should have. Regardless of how good an opportunity
seems, until there is a validation, everything is based on an
entrepreneurs assumptions. While common sense may qualify an idea
as an opportunity, market conditions may reject it for various
reasons.
Market research is crucial for evaluating opportunities. For
evolutionary products, if research data exist the market might
already be too mature for startups to enter. For revolutionary
products however, there is no market data, as the market does
not yet exist. The most reliable way of conducting market research
is by living and breathing the market itself – by interacting
with customers and other market participants.
It is important to know:
Is there a validation that a market demand exists?
3.1.5. Sustainability
Startups are betting on market stability or a positive trend.
Unless the trend lasts long enough for the startup to profit from,
there is no point of going after it. This is another aspect of
market research. A business must determine that their customers
will stay with the company and be customers into the future. Also,
a business must evaluate if the economy is fit to keep paying
customers willing to buy their products and solutions.
It is important to know:
Is the target market stable or growing?
When and why is the market window open?
3.1.6. Market Timing
Market timing is everything. A great product is worthless if
the market is not ready to buy it or if the market has become
saturated. It is crucial to be ready when the customer is ready.
Once the market for a new product is established, its window
of opportunity opens, and new entrants flow in. At some point,
the market matures, and the window of opportunity for new entrants
closes.
There are specific challenges for being the first in a new market
or last in a mature market. The Company has to be aware and prepared
for the challenges. If an entrepreneur is entering a new market,
they have to be prepared to convince customers or users the product
or service is needed, worth the money, and worth the time to use.
If an entrepreneur is entering a mature market, they have to be
able to convince customers they have something new and innovative
such that it is worth it for customers or users to switch.
It is important to know:
Are the target customers ‘ready’ to buy without any
aggressive demand creation requirement?
3.1.7. Mission and Vision
Startups are formed when people come together and choose to invest
for greater return. There is time, money, brainpower or reputations
that is invested.
In startups every single contributor counts and if aligned "the
whole is going to be greater than the sum of individuals".
Regardless of good intention lack of direction may neutralize others’
efforts. Imagine people in a boat paddling in opposite directions!
Every company has to be set with a clear and resonating mission,
following a vision. It has to be understood, agreed and followed
by all involvees. A clear mission statement also includes a clear
idea of what the startup will NOT do.
It is important to know:
Is there a clear vision and mission statement in place that targets
the opportunity?
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