Heptalysis Whitepaper
3. Assessment Elements
-
3.7 Margin of Safety - Is there any protection?
"Only the Paranoid Survive”
- Andrew S. Grove ~ Intel
There are numerous outside factors that can affect a company’s
destiny. Each business and each entrepreneur is unique. It's important
to understand the risks and be prepared to withstand potential
shocks that are beyond a business control. Understanding these
outside factors which can hurt a business will allow for more
accurate risk management as well as a more accurate evaluation
of potential returns.
Due diligence is always needed by both investors and entrepreneurs
to ensure that good business decisions are being made. In 1998,
volkswagon outbid BMW to purchase Rolls Royce, including all of
their intellectual property. Unfortunately they forgot to buy
the Rolls-Royce brand name, which BMW had purchased at the last
moment.2 Volkswagon didn’t perform due diligence and missed
out on one of most important assets that Rolls Royce had.
Consequently, various protections have to be carefully evaluated.
That is done in two ways:
1) What kind of foreseeable marketplace changes could affect the
company?
2) How prepared the company is to mitigate and deal with these
surprising events?
3) How can the company recover from unforeseeable market changes
or events?
3.7.1.
Competition Awareness
Absence of good analysis and lack of appreciation for competition
are of the most common mistakes made by entrepreneurs.
It is important to know:
Are existing and future competitors well analyzed, understood
and prepared for?
What are the strengths and weaknesses of each of them?
How successful are they? Market shares, revenue wise, etc.
What are their product differentiators?
Do customers and vendors love them?
3.7.2.
Barriers to Entry
"Barrier to entry" is an insurance for small companies.
It is the obstacle and difficulty of duplicating the core competencies
that will discourage or slow down competitors.
Barriers to entry established through:
Response/lead time
Legal, contractual advantage
Contracts and networks
Key people
Proprietary protection
Geographical leverage
It is important to know:
Are there barriers to entry or other leverage points in place
or planned to sustain the projections?
3.7.3.
Controllable Expenditure
In resource-poor startups any downturn, delay or shift in projected
income can prove fatal. To survive management has to take control
of the burn-rate.
It is important to know:
How much control does the management have on spending? (i.e. salary
liability, long term lease, . . )
Are there any contingency plans for miscalculations in technology,
people and market?
3.7.4.
Knowledge Retention
Companies spend a significant amount of their time and resources
in acquiring Knowledge. The ability to learn, innovate and improve
directly impacts company's value, if retained in-house. Knowledge
retention can be achieved through management practice, communication,
documentation, measurement metrics and business processes.
It is important to know:
Is the company conscious about and proactively involved in retaining
gained expertise and knowledge in house?
Is the retained knowledge utilized in improving core competencies,
internal processes and quality of product/service?
3.7.5.
Asset and Collateral
A company’s asset serves as protection if the business fails.
Investors take a greater risk and are less likely to recover depending
on the gap between investment amount and company’s asset.
Among others assets include:
Cash and cash equivalents
Marketable Securities
Accounts receivable
Inventories
Prepaid Expenses
It is important to know:
Are there any tangible assets to protect the investments?
What is the fair market value of tangible assets?
3.7.6.
Marketable Intangibles
Intangible assets including brand, goodwill, customers, partners
and intellectual property contribute to a company’s intrinsic
value. Marketable intangibles can serve as additional protection
of investment. The analysis and appraisal of intangible assets
is complicated, due to the nature of these assets.
It is important to know:
Are there any intangible assets associated with the business?
What is the fair market value of company’s intangible assets?
3.7.7.
Liquidation Seniority
Under liquidation, those investors whose investments are backed
by collateral are paid first. Other investors may take a greater
risk and are less likely to recover due to subordinate position
or other liquidation preferences.
It is important to know:
Is there exposure to any existing liens or commitments?
What are there the liquidation preferences, if any?
|